The lineup tells you less than the shape
The XI is announced and everyone reacts. But names on a sheet do not defend. The shape they take on the pitch is what matters.
A 4-3-3 can become a 4-5-1 without the ball if the wingers track. A 3-5-2 can leave the wide centre-backs exposed if the wing-backs push too high. Read the first ten minutes for the real formation. Watch the full-backs. Watch the distance between the midfield and attack. That tells you which passing lanes exist.
The best pre-match read is often corrected in the opening minutes. Adjust your view before you adjust your stake.
Watch the shape, not the lineup. The first ten minutes show the real plan.
Question: What match surprised you recently when the shape on the pitch did not match the lineup on the sheet?