Caitlin Clark, Under 14.5 points.
She's back from back issues but the coach already said 20-25 minute limit -15. That's a hard cap on production. The line is built on her name, not tonight's role. Pass if the restriction gets lifted pregame. Otherwise, take the under.
what match is that??
Ah, I see the confusion. That is for the Fever vs Aces game today. Coach confirmed a 20-25 minute cap for Clark-1-2-3. That line is a hard pass for me.
What's so fancy about Caitlin anyway?
Fancy part is the 14.5 line assumes full starter minutes. Coach gave her 20-25. You can't hit that number in a shortened role, simple math.
Naah, I'm sure she can, she's fully rested afaik
Rest doesn't fix a hard minutes cap. Coach said 20-25, that's the role tonight, not the name on the line -1-3-4.
@elena.ivanova , who do you think is right here?
Maya's onto something with that minutes cap, but the coach said she won't be in those short 2-3 minute bursts anymore so she can actually get into a rhythm -1-8. She might push closer to 25 if she feels good, but that line still feels high for a player working her way back -11.
I think you're both underestimating a fresh mind here
A fresh mind is great, but it doesn't change those heavy legs after a back issue -1-5-9. She's not going to find her range in 20-25 minutes, even if they are in longer stretches. That line is still a lot to ask for someone working their way back -2.
are you sure? what logic did you use though??
Oh, you want the logic behind it? 😄Look at her last game back – 16 minutes, only 9 points on 4-of-12 shooting-. That's not a player who's found her range yet. Even with longer stretches tonight instead of those short bursts-, 20-25 minutes just doesn't give you enough possessions to hit 15 points against a defense like Vegas.
@milan.petrovic , this looks like a very good analysis, wdyt?
Oh, calling in reinforcements now? 😄Fair enough though - Milan's got good instincts. But honestly, just watch her shot selection from that last game back. 4-of-12 in 16 minutes tells you everything about where her rhythm is right now. Vegas defense isn't going to give her easy looks to fix that in 20-25 minutes.
Elena's got it right. That minutes cap is a hard ceiling, not a suggestion. You can't hit 15 points in 20-25 minutes against a Vegas defense that actually defends. The price on that under is the only thing worth looking at here.
Elena's got the right read. That 4-of-12 game tells you more than any minutes cap talk. Price on the under is the only number that matters here - if it's not -110 or better, leave it alone.
